Here are eight Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024: Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) speaks during a House Armed Services Committee hearing on July 9, 2020, on Capitol Hill in Washington. Heinrich has announced his intent to run for a third term. Here are the states where residents will pay the biggest share of their income Trump asks for roughly six-month delay in New York fraud case, Why concerns are rising about drug-resistant Shigella infections, Michael Steele on Marjorie Taylor Greene: Just shut the hell up, Mike Lindell calls DeSantis a Trojan Horse, Excused Murdaugh juror left a dozen eggs in jury room. Though Sanders hasnt ruled out a third run for president, three of President Joe Bidens former primary rivals are committed to running for reelection to the chamber. [77], Four-term Democrat Debbie Stabenow was re-elected in 2018 with 52.3% of the vote. Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. During the Democratic primary of that race, Carper implied that he might not seek re-election in 2024, and, when asked about it, said, "This may be the last time. Nevada is a perennial battleground, and Republicans are sure to contest the state aggressively once again, especially given how close last years race was. The other swing-state Democratic senators up in 2024 Robert P. Casey Jr. (D-Pa.) and Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) won a little more comfortably in 2018 but will be targets. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. That fact alone makes Nevada one of the GOPs best pickup opportunities for 2024. Members shall draw lots to determine who serves which terms. } But unlike 2018, when a blue wave helped propel Democrats into the House majority, the party is facing a tougher political landscape in 2024. The following table provides an overview of the incumbent and candidates in 2024 Senate races. Still, Republicans are expected to contest the seat fiercely next year. The third-ranking Democrat's departureleaves the GOP with a pickup opportunity in a swing state. [6] Three Democrats in this class represent states won by Donald Trump in both 2016 and 2020 (Montana, Ohio, and West Virginia), while no Republicans represent states won by Joe Biden in 2020. Here are the seven Senate seats most likely to flip in November: Pennsylvania. Kyrsten Sinema > Arizona. -moz-columns: 3; Democrats gained a net of one seat in the 2022 general elections, maintaining control of the chamber. The 2022 Senate race in Nevada was one of the most competitive of last years midterm elections. Sen. Pat Toomey's (R) retirement and President Biden's narrow victory in the Keystone State in 2020 have . California Democrats are unlikely to wait for her, already eyeing the seat as essentially open in 2024. Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. Things arent expected to be much easier for Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.) in 2024. WASHINGTON (AP) President Joe Biden visited the Senate on Thursday to demonstrate unity among Democrats but he ended up endorsing a Republican priority instead. That's significant considering just one state (Wisconsin) voted the opposite way for the Senate in 2022 . [115], Two-term Democrat Tammy Baldwin was re-elected in 2018 with 55.4% of the vote. Senate Democrats are preparing to play defense in 2024 as they look to preserve their narrow majority in the upper chamber. President Joe Biden will likelybe seeking hissecond term, Jan. 6 hearings to investigate the attack, blocked Schiff from serving on the Intelligence Committee. Three-term independent Bernie Sanders was re-elected in 2018 with 67.4% of the vote. Haley to hit Trump on spending record in closed-door Saturday speech, Hundreds of flights delayed, canceled amid latest winter storms, What Biden might try next if his student loan forgiveness plan is struck down. -moz-columns: 1; Former President Trump carried it by more than 16 points in 2020, while Sen. Steve Daines (R) won reelection by a 10-point margin. (AP Photo/Al Goldis, File) The 2024 Senate race in Michigan appeared promising for Democrats just a couple of weeks ago. Progressive Hawaii Sen. Mazie Hirono is running for reelection, spokesperson Maddy Russak said. Democrats are eager to get Baldwin to commit to another Senate run. Democrats currently have a narrow majority in the upper chamber, but that will be tested next year. Class I terms run from the beginning of the 116th Congress on January 3, 2019, to the end of the 118th Congress on January 3, 2025. Senate Democrats are staring down the risk of their own Great Resignation in 2024. Republicans are playing defense in November: the party is in control of the Senate and White House, and will have to defend 23 seats compared to the 12 Senate Democrats who are up for reelection. [2] U.S. representative Jim Banks is running,[67] while former representative Trey Hollingsworth and Indiana attorney general and 2018 Senate candidate Todd Rokita are all seen as potential candidates for the Republican nomination to succeed Braun. They are arranged so that the parties are separated, and a majority is clear by crossing the middle. = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. Braun is retiring to prepare to run for Governor of Indiana instead. The Arizona Democrat renewed critics' anger with a speech saying she would never nix the filibuster . Biden spoke with Senate Democrats on Thursday after addressing the House caucus a day earlier, touting their achievements and shoring up support ahead of a likely reelection announcement . [101], John Love III, former Midland Mayor pro tempore, and candidate for Senate in 2020, has announced a bid for the Democratic nomination. [110] Eleven days later, Jonathan Emord, author and constitutional litigator, announced he is running for the Republican nomination in order to challenge Kaine. The uncertainty stemming from Stabenows coming retirement sets the stage for a potentially long and competitive Democratic primary that could complicate the partys hopes of holding the seat next year. Whats clear is that the race is emerging as one of the most contentious in the country. Sen. Sinema changed her partisan affiliation from Democrat to Independent after the 2022 elections. Sasse resigned from the U.S. Senate on January 8, 2023, after being appointed president of the University of Florida.[1][2][3]. Casey has said that he has an excellent prognosis, and hes expected to move forward with his reelection campaign. 2023 USA TODAY, a division of Gannett Satellite Information Network, LLC. Class 1 senators, who were last elected in 2018, will be up for election again in 2024. Others have gotten there. [74][75][76], Two-term Democrat Elizabeth Warren was re-elected in 2018 with 60.3% of the vote. After running four campaigns in two years, Sen. Raphael Warnock won't be on the ballot again until 2028 but at least 23 of his Democratic colleagues are up for . [64][65], Former U.S. Representative Stephanie Murphy (2017-2023) is seen as a potential challenger for the Democratic nomination. Whats more, many Democrats believe that Manchin is perhaps the only Senate candidate who can beat a Republican in West Virginia, and he hasnt yet committed to running for another term. Class I - Senators Whose Term of Service Expire in 2025. Senators in Class I were elected to office in the November 2018 general election, unless they took their seat through appointment or special election. The Democrats held a 58-seat majority going into the election, with the Republicans at 38 seats and the rising Libertarians with 4 seats. As of July 29, 2020, there were 21 seats held by Democrats and 10 seats held by Republicans up for election in 2024. Representative Jim Banks . Numerous other federal, state, and local elections, including the U.S. presidential election and elections to the House, will also be held on this date. Think we're missing something? As with any other 2024 state, you can use the Map Color Palette or rotate through the colors by clicking on the map. [52] Sinema has received a cross-party endorsement from Senator Lisa Murkowski (R-AK). Cardin is currently deciding on a potential retirement. [34][81], Three-term Democrat Jon Tester was re-elected in 2018 with 50.3% of the vote. Updated on: February 14, 2023 / 4:46 PM / CBS News. Senate Democrats are looking at a tough map for 2024. The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. Not only will they be defending more than twice as many Senate seats as Republicans, but theyll likely be on the ballot with President Biden, whose approval rating remains relatively low. [23], One-term Republican Mike Braun was elected in 2018 with 50.8% of the vote. Alex Wong/Getty Images, The real question is, is what do we wake up to on November 9, or 10th? The 2024 Senate race in Michigan appeared promising for Democrats just a couple of weeks ago. This race's position on the rankings continues to be one of the biggest surprises of the 2022 cycle. Mandela Barnes. The GOP Senators will be holding a press conference regarding the appealing a Biden Administration regulation that puts the retirement savings of Americans in jeopardy. [7] In the two previous Senate election cycles that coincided with presidential elections (2016 and 2020), only 1 senator (Republican Susan Collins of Maine in 2020) was elected in a state that was won by the presidential nominee of the opposite party.[8]. Even prominent Republicans who aren't up for reelection in the 2024 cycle, such as Sens. The interactive map provides a series of purple shades to use in these three states, in addition to the regular D/R colors. [68][69], Former Senator Joe Donnelly is a potential challenger for the Democratic nomination in an effort to win back a seat that he lost in 2018. ", https://twitter.com/RaymondB916/status/1628079198882394113, https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/02/cruz-texas-2024-republicans-senate-00080629, https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2023/02/21/dallas-democrat-colin-allred-ponders-senate-bid-against-ted-cruz/, "Romney, now a GOP maverick, undecided on future in politics", https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2022/12/21/should-mitt-romney-run/, "Top Trump ally gears up for Romney primary challenge", "Democrats poll Zuckerman and Donovan for governor as Holcombe presses ahead", "Election results 'make room' for new leaders in the Progressive Party", https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/20/politics/tim-kaine-running-reelection/index.html, https://therepublicanstandard.com/featured/constitutional-litigator-jonathan-emord-announces-u-s-senate-run/vsnitsar/2023/01/, "Billionaire Peltz draws GOP megadonors to $5,000-a-plate fundraiser for Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin", https://www.weirtondailytimes.com/news/local-news/2022/10/gop-candidates-voters-rally-in-weirton/, "Manchin weighs another term as his influence peaks", https://www.jsonline.com/restricted/?return=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.jsonline.com%2Fstory%2Fnews%2Fpolitics%2F2023%2F02%2F13%2Fwisconsin-republicans-who-could-challenge-sen-tammy-baldwin-in-2024%2F69871895007%2F, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2024_United_States_Senate_elections&oldid=1142771437, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles with unsourced statements from February 2023, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 4 March 2023, at 08:08. So I hope to run for re-election" in the Senate, he said. 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona, List of United States senators from Arizona, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona, 2024 United States Senate election in California, List of United States senators from California, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut, List of United States senators from Connecticut, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut, 2024 United States Senate election in Delaware, List of United States senators from Delaware, 2024 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware, 2024 United States Senate election in Florida, List of United States senators from Florida, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida. 100% remote. However, she has yet to make an official announcement. Come 2024, 33 seats will be up for re-election, with 23 of them . Cruz is running for a third-term despite advocating for congressional term limits. Murphy has announced he is running for a third term. Sen. Kyrsten Sinema changed her affiliation from Democrat to independent after the 2022 elections. But for now, Sinema maintains a more conservative stance than fellow Democrats in Congress. Mayor of Indianapolis, former Indiana Secretary of State, and former chair of the Indiana Democratic Party, Joe Hogsett is also seen as a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination. Jim Justice, [] Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio, which Trump won by 8 points, said he still plans to run for reelection in his red-tilting state, a big shot in the arm for Schumer and whoever chairs the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Gillibrand is running for a third full term. OnPolitics: What the 2022 midterms will mean for the 2024 election, Stay in the conversation on politics: Sign up for the OnPolitics newsletter. Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. }, .split-cols-c-list { Senate Democrats are gearing up for what's expected to be a challenging reelection environment in 2024 even as they await the results of a Senate runoff in Georgia between Sen. Raphael Warnock . After cutting a huge deal on climate, health care and taxes with Schumer, Manchin is now watching the 2022 elections before making a decision. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) pulled out a narrow 3-point victory in his last bid for reelection, maintaining a seat for Democrats in an otherwise deep-red state. 33 of the 100 seats in the U.S. Senate will be contested in regular elections, the winners of which will serve 6-year terms in the U.S. Congress from January 3, 2025, to January 3, 2031, and one special election will be held to complete an unexpired term ending January 3, 2027. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) took aim at former Representative Liz Cheney's (R-WY) possible 2024 bid in a new fundraising email obtained by the Washington Examiner. Elections to the United States Senate were held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024 with 34 of the 102 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections whose winners served six-year terms from January 3, 2025 until January 3, 2031.
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